The White House has significantly lowered expectations for a breakthrough agreement to end the Russia-Ukraine war during Friday's high-stakes summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Anchorage, Alaska.

Key Developments:

1. Limited Summit Scope

   • White House Press Secretary Caroline Lafitte stated at Tuesday's briefing: "President Trump will attend the summit to gain a better understanding of how to end the war... This will essentially be a listening exercise for the President."

   • Notably emphasized: "Only one party to the conflict will be present at the talks." (referring to Ukraine's absence)

2. Bilateral Format

   • The Anchorage meeting will feature direct Trump-Putin negotiations

   • Lafitte hinted at a potential future Trump visit to Russia

3. Controversial Context

   • Trump confirmed Monday that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy was not invited

   • Comes after Trump's late-June threat to impose severe economic sanctions on Russia unless it agrees to a ceasefire

   • Part of Trump's renewed push to fulfill campaign promises to "end the war" since returning to office

Strategic Implications:
✓ Ukraine's Exclusion raises questions about diplomatic process legitimacy
✓ Sanctions Leverage remains Trump's primary bargaining tool
✓ Energy Sanctions threat on Russian oil buyers adds economic pressure

Next Phase:
Observers await:

• Post-summit joint declaration (if any)

• Ukraine's formal response to being sidelined

• Potential follow-on negotiations

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